Alright, well, short of just winning the game all by himself on Friday, Nikola Jokic did all he could to get the Nuggets back in the series. Now, Denver is in a win-or-go-home situation tonight, as the game will tip-off at 6 pm MST.
- Jamal Murray – Out
- PJ Dozier – Day-to-day
- Abdel Nader – Out
Betting lines (subject to change):
- Denver is +3 underdogs (opened at +2)
- Phoenix -3
- Over/under placed at 222 (69% of public bets like the over)
- Denver is +130 for the MoneyLine
- Phoenix -150
- Suns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall
- Suns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win
- Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600
- Under is 8-1-2 in Nuggets last 11 Conference Semifinals games
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Denver
- Suns are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Denver
Let’s not sugarcoat it, this series has sucked beyond any and all imagination. After a resounding series victory against the Portland Trail Blazers, the Nuggets appear to be limping their way through this series. Apart from Jokic, who by his standards is having a less productive round against the Suns, there seems to be nobody willing to step up and grab this challenge by the horns. On the brink of elimination, even if just for one game, I hope somebody gives Jokic some support, support that Jokic has earned, and commands from the rest of the guys out there.
The veteran presence on the other side in Chris Paul has been steady and impressive. I see his points+assists total of 26.5 going over in tonight’s matchup just based off the fact that he has averaged about 21 points and 11.3 assists. In addition to Paul’s props, I’ll go after Mikal Bridges once more because he has averaged 16.6 points in these three postseason games against Denver. Look for the over on Bridges points total of 12.5.
The unfortunate nature of the situation is this. I don’t know who, if anybody apart from Jokic, will show up on any given night against the Suns, so suggesting props for Denver is difficult. Even Jokic’s points total for me seems high, but if you are feeling bold and want to back the MVP, then there is no shame in that.
It’s been a sorry series for Denver against the Suns, and that is putting it lightly. The fight and grit from Denver have been absent. The supporting cast has been absolutely invisible, and Jokic is doing as much as he can, but all on his own, and it has been incredibly disappointing and disheartening to watch if you’re a Denver fan. Let’s just hope they can go out there with a little pride and grab this win to extend the series just one more game.