To say the Denver Nuggets have had a hard last 5 games is an understatement. Clippers, then Lakers, Knicks, Jazz, and finally the Nets with Denver winning 2 out of those 5. For the availability the Nuggets have at the guard spot, I’d say that’s pretty dang good.
Tonight, Denver faces the Charlotte Hornets in Charlotte at 5 pm MST looking to start a winning streak to end the season.
- Jamal Murray – Out
- Will Barton – Out
- Aaron Gordon – Probable
- Zeke Nnaji – Out
- PJ Dozier – Out
- Monte Morris – Questionable
- Miles Bridges – Out
- Cody Martin – Out
- Devonte’ Graham – Questionable
- Gordan Hayward – Out
Betting lines (subject to change):
- Denver is -5.5 favorites after opening at -4.5
- Charlotte are +5.5 dogs
- Over/under is stagnant at 217.5
- Denver’s MoneyLine is -210 (opened at -224)
- Charlotte’s MoneyLine is +194
- Under is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record
- Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Tuesday games
- Under is 7-0 in Hornets last 7 Tuesday games
- Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest
- Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Charlotte
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings
Going 2-3 in 5 games is by no means good, but with what Denver had to work with against very strong opponents, the narrative changes a bit. With that tough stretch behind them, Denver will look to finish the season strong and it starts with the Hornets. The last time Denver played Charlotte, they won 129 – 104 and based on recent performances, I see another win for Denver.
Right now, the Hornets are not a good rebounding side (20th), nor a good three-point defending side, which is where I’ll start with my prop suggestions. MPJ over 7.5 rebounds is a solid option (he got 13 in their last meeting). A higher risk, but still worth a look is MPJ over 3.5 threes. He has hit 3 or more in his last 3 games and 4 or more in each of his last two.
For the opponents, who rank 6th in assists per game, against a team in Denver that allows loads of assists, look into LaMelo Ball’s assist total over 6.5 for good value. The Hornets aren’t filled with superstars, but they have a roster of players who can, on their night, have quite the performance and with Ball averaging 6.2 assists per game, this is a prop I like from a Hornets perspective.
Denver is no doubt thinner in terms of their roster this time versus the last time these two sides met, but that shouldn’t sway your bets too heavily. Nikola Jokic will look to take advantage of the smaller Bismack Biyombo in tonight’s game, and if he is successful you can bet there will be another win in the Nugget’s favor after the game is over. That said, this is also very important for Charlotte, as they look to finish the season in that 8th spot, so I would imagine the Hornets aren’t just going to roll over.
No matter what, throw some money down and make this game just that more interesting as we all enjoy the final few games of the Nuggets regular season.