Denver Sports Betting

Atlantic 10 Conference Betting Preview: Odds, Picks and Predictions

The Atlantic 10 men’s basketball tournament kicks off Wednesday as the madness of march lurks in the near future. The tournament will include all 14 teams in the conference, with the top 10 teams earning a bye for the first round. Furthermore, the top four teams earned an automatic bid to the quarterfinals.


This year has been a wild one for all of college basketball, but the A10 has specifically been impacted by COVID with Rhode Island having played the most games (24) and UMass having played the least amount of games (13). With the discrepancy in games played throughout the conference, the term “madness” should be in full effect in this conference tournament, opening up plenty of value on the board.


St. Bonaventure captured the regular season A10 crown with an overall record of 11-4 in the conference. VCU and Davidson followed the Bonnies in the regular season standings. While St. Bonaventure won the regular season battle, they’re not the favorites to come out of the A10.


The odds to win the A10 tournament courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook are as follows:

VCU +225

St. Louis +245

St. Bonaventure +375

Richmond +400

Davidson +850

Dayton +1400

Rhode Island +3000

Umass +4000

Duquesne +10000

George Mason +10000

George Washington +30000

Fordham +35000

La Salle +50000

St. Joseph’s +50000


When looking at KenPom’s rankings, these teams rank as follows in the NCAA:

34: St. Bonaventure

42: St. Louis

50: VCU

62: Richmond

68: Davidson

82: Dayton

93: Rhode Island

124: UMass

126: George Mason

184: St. Joseph’s

189: LaSalle

209: George Washington

293: Fordham


When looking at college basketball betting, KenPom rankings are always something to take into consideration. Based on those metrics, the best value pick is the regular season conference champion, St. Bonaventure at +375.


Personally, I value a team’s scoring punch when it comes to a conference tournament long shot. If you can get a pair of scorers in the Top 10, that’s the ideal scenario. Even having one player in the Top 10 scoring in the conference and another Top 20 is a scenario you can take advantage of.


The Top 20 players that quality in scoring for the regular season conference stats are as follows:

  1. Nah’Shon Hyland (VCU) 19.2 ppg
  2. James Bishop (GW) 19.1 ppg
  3. Jalen Crutcher (Dayton) 18.2 ppg
  4. Tre Mitchell (UMass) 18.1 ppg
  5. Taylor Funk (St. Joe’s) 17.8 ppg
  6. Jamison Battle (GW) 17.8 ppg
  7. Javonte Perkins (SLU) 16.9 ppg
  8. Kellan Grady (Davidson) 16.8 ppg
  9. Marcus Weathers (Duquesne) 16.1 ppg
  10. Blake Francis (Richmond) 16.1 ppg
  11. Ibi Watson (Dayton) 15.6 ppg
  12. Jordan Miller (GMU) 15.6 ppg
  13. Fatts Russell (URI) 15.0 ppg
  14. Jordan Goodwin (SLU) 14.5 ppg
  15. Kyle Lofton (SBU) 14.5 ppg
  16. Jaren Holmes (SBU) 13.7 ppg
  17. Hyunjung Lee (Davidson) 13.2 ppg
  18. Carl Pierre (UMass) 12.9 ppg
  19. Grant Golden (Richmond) 12.9 ppg
  20. Nathan Cayo (Richmond) 12.7 ppg


So when looking at these Top 20 scorers, by team the number of players are:

Richmond (3)

GW (2)

Dayton (2)

UMass (2)

SLU (2)

SBU (2)

Davidson (2)

VCU (1)

St. Joe’s (1)

Duquesne (1)

GMU (1)

URI (1)

Obviously, scoring isn’t the only thing to look at, but it is something that is extremely important when it comes to a long shot winning a conference tournament. So with that in mind, the best long shot bet is George Washington based on those stats, but there’s a catch and that comes with St. Joe’s.


Ryan Daly has only played in eight games this season for the Hawks. He is arguably their best player and most lethal scorer at 19.4 points per game in those games played. He doesn’t qualify on the above list because of the lack of games played due to injury. But when Daly is on the court you have to throw out the 3-9 conference record. St. Joe’s is 3-0 in the conference with Daly on the court, coming in the last three games. In those contests, the Hawks have beaten La Salle, Dayton and Richmond. The Flyers and Spiders are legitimate conference threats, as seen in their betting odds. St. Joe’s beat Dayton at home by 13 and then defeated Richmond on the road in a close 76-73 game, another metric to look at closely in conference tournaments. 


Daly averaged 23 points per game in those three wins. He will team up with Taylor Funk to provide that formidable 1-2 punch I look for in a long shot. Funk averaged 26 points per game in those three wins. So with these guys on the floor, anything can happen in what has been a wild year. Getting 500-1 odds on St. Joe’s is amazing value.


The schedule for the tournament is as follows: 

Wednesday, March 3

Game 1: No. 12 LaSalle vs. No. 13 St. Joesph’s, 11 a.m. ET, ESPN+

Game 2: No. 11 George Washington vs. No. 14 Fordham, 2 p.m. ET, ESPN+

Thursday, March 4

Game 3: No. 8 Richmond vs. No. 9 Duquesne, 11 a.m. ET, on NBCSN

Game 4: No. 5 UMass vs. Winner of Game 1, 1 p.m. ET, on NBCSN

Game 5: No. 7 Dayton vs. No. 10 Rhode Island, 3:30 p.m. ET, on NBCSN

Game 6: No. 6 George Mason vs. Winner of Game 2, 5:30 p.m. ET, on NBCSN

Friday, March 5

Quarterfinal 1: No. 1 St. Bonaventure vs. Winner of Game 3, 11 a.m. ET, on NBCSN

Quarterfinal 2: No. 4 Saint Louis vs. Winner of Game 4, 1 p.m. ET, on NBCSN

Quarterfinal 3: No. 2 VCU vs. Winner of Game 5, 3:30 p.m. ET, on NBCSN

Quarterfinal 4: No. 3 Davidson vs. Winner of Game 6, 5:30 p.m. ET, on NBCSN

Saturday, March 6

Semifinal 1: Winner of Quarterfinal 1 vs. Winner of Quarterfinal 2, 6 p.m. ET, on CBSSN

Semifinal 2: Winner of Quarterfinal 3 vs. Winner of Quarterfinal 4, 9 p.m. ET, on CBSSN

Sunday, March 14

Championship: Winner of Semifinal 1 vs. Winner of Semifinal 2, 1 p.m. ET, CBS


Best bets:


St. Joe’s +50000

Pick to win: St. Bonaventure +375

The Bonnies have proven they can beat any team in the conference. As the conference winners, it’s a bit disrespectful that they have the third-lowest odds to win the conference tournament. Take SBU at a solid number to come out of Dayton Arena champs on Sunday.

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