Denver is finally back from a dreadful road trip. After going 1-3 on the road, they now return home to face the Portland Trail Blazers, a team that sits in 5th in the Western Conference and 2.5 games ahead of Denver. Denver Sports Betting is here to help take a look at this game from a betting perspective for the matchup, with the game tipping off at 8 p.m. MST at Ball Arena.
Betting Lines (Subject to change):
- Denver opened as -8 favorite against the spread, now -6.5
- The public is split 50/50 on the spread
- Denver Moneyline set at -250, +205 for Portland
- Point total opened at 231
- Bet up to 232
- 81% of public is on the over
Betting trends courtesy of Covers.com:
- Over is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings
- Trail Blazers are 5-12-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings
- Over is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record
- Over is 6-0 in Trail Blazers last 6 games as a road underdog
- Over is 6-2 in Nuggets last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600
This is an enticing matchup to return home to after a rough stint on the road. Denver has lost 6 of their last 10, while Portland has lost only two of their last 10. The Blazers and Nuggets are both adept at scoring, sitting 3rd and 4th in the league in points per game, which tells me that even with injuries, this point total at 232 seems a good shout. A big difference in this game could be the assist totals. Denver averages 26.5 per game and Portland just 20; if the Nuggets can move the ball quickly, Denver should take this game.
Both defenses have room to improve, but with CJ Mccollum out, that puts a dent in Portland’s 3-pt game, or at least one can hope it does. Nurkic out should give Jokic a better chance to get back to his regular MVP caliber ways as the Blazers have only one other recognized center to play against him. While everyone loves a familiar face returning to Denver, the Nuggets will be looking to sour that of Carmelo Anthony and get back to winning ways on this two-game homestand.
If Jokic can establish himself down low, Murray keeps up his recent form, and we can contest on defense, this will fall in Denver’s favor. Denver has struggled against the spread this season, with a record of 13-17. If Jokic can get some credible help elsewhere, Denver can cover this spread, but it’s by no means a sure thing.
With all this knowledge, permission is granted to let those bets fly!