Today’s game is another early tip-off, with the action set to begin at 4 p.m. MST at the legendary Madison Square Garden, as the Denver Nuggets look again to string two wins together on the trot after the victory against the short-handed Philadelphia 76ers.
Let’s be honest – Denver caught a big break against the Sixers Saturday afternoon, with only 9 eligible players on the roster, the simple added bonus of having players to rotate (and the fact that Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid were both out) did the job.
Could the Nuggets have won in normal circumstances? Sure, however, the game would have been much more strenuous. In all honesty, it was surprisingly close for a large portion of the game, but Denver pulled away late and got the job done to move to 4-5, up to 12th in the West. While Denver did win, they did not cover the spread.
Without a doubt, the New York Knicks will be a different test, with big wins for New York coming against the Bucks, Pacers, and Jazz, and yet they are still trying to find a consistency of their own, presenting an opportunity for Denver.
The Nuggets are favored in this matchup, with the spread opening at -6, and now sitting at -5.5 ATS. The total for the game opened at 218 and has dropped down to 214, and the public is actually backing the under, believe it or not. This could be for a variety of reasons. The Nuggets come to town on the second night of a back-to-back, and the Knicks are a strong defensive team.
214 is low hanging fruit if you want to bet the over, but there are certainly a few major factors shading towards the support of the under.
Here are some more trends to think about prior to putting money down thanks to Covers.com:
- Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record
- Nuggets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games
- Over is 11-2 in Nuggets last 13 games as a road favorite
- Over is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 Sunday games
- Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings
- Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New York.
- Nuggets are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings
- Under is 6-0 in Knicks last 6 overall
- Under is 5-0 in Knicks last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game
The good news for the Nuggets is the Knicks are another squad that is a bit short on bodies. Dennis Smith Jr., Frank Ntilikina, Obi Toppin are all out, and Taj Gibson and Kevin Knox II are listed as day-to-day. Michael Porter Jr. is the only player listed as out for Denver as he remains in COVID safety protocols for the next few games.
As fans, we know what the formula for success is; either Nikola Jokic or Jamal Murray has to have a good game, when both have bad games, the team suffers. With the Knicks, it seems Julius Randle is a certainty on the stat sheet. Win or loss, he’s (generally) been their best player. With that in mind, keeping the role players quiet against the Knicks will be key. The Knicks are a new team with added depth and a new coach this year, but consistency still eludes them thus far, so let’s hope that Denver can take advantage of that and get another win on the road today.
Sports betting is 100% legal in Colorado, and it’s time for sports fans to get in on the action! With that, we want to ensure Colorado bettors are educated before laying their money on the line, so be sure to check out DenverSportsBetting.com for daily news, trends, and analysis of sports from a betting perspective by Colorado’s premier sports betting centric media outlet.