Denver Sports Betting

Things to Know for Week 14 Thursday Night Football

Sports betting moves quickly. New information and injury updates are constantly impacting the way you should consider wagering, especially on the NFL. Before taking a chance on any bet, look for updated information. Scan injury reports, both for missing and returning players, and check out the weather reports, this time of year the weather can significantly impact games.

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Things to Know about Thursday Night Football

Finally, there’s a game to look forward to on a Thursday night. NFL Week 14 starts with a great Thursday night matchup. The 6-6 New England Patriots coming off their best performance of the year take on the 8-4 Los Angeles Rams who look to solidify playoff position and improve to 5-1 at home. 

New England comes in winners of four of their last five with a heavy run-based controlling offense that relies on a much-improved defense to control field position. In typical New England fashion, the Patriots stayed on the west coast for practice in preparation for Thursday night following their Week 13 win versus the Chargers.

Opponents, specifically signal callers, have struggled to produce against the Pats in recent weeks. On the season, the Patriots are ranked fifth in fantasy points allowed to opposing QBs and have tallied five sacks in their last two games. 

The Rams have had an up and down season and are flying under the radar as a division leader. Coming in as winners in three of their last four games, they look to continue their playoff push. The up and down play of QB Jared Goff has led some to doubt the Rams as real contenders in 2020.

The Rams defense is the key to their success. The defense ranks fifth in efficiency and fifth against the pass overall. The Rams average three sacks a game and have dominant players at every level, led by pass rusher Aaron Donald. 

The Rams head into Thursday night as -4.5 home favorites. The game total is coming in at 44.5, and the Moneyline bet at -240 for the Rams. This would make the implied game script 25-20 in favor of the Rams. 

Two weeks ago, I would have said this is a no brainer Rams victory. In typical Patriots fashion, New England has improved as the season has progressed. Both teams are looking towards the playoffs and both teams are playing good football right now. 

Look for an evenly matched game that is controlled by field position. Both teams have excellent special teams units, and this very well could come down to a big special teams play. This should be a methodical match-up between two coaches that want to prove superiority on the gridiron. 

Different plays and props to consider on Thursday Night

  • Under 44.5 points – Typically, in non-division games, I would lean over, but these coaches will do their homework, and neither team will be beaten by their opponents strength. I expect a slow, tight 1-score game. 
  • Moneyline for either team – I think this is a one-score game that could come down to a late turnover, so instead of hoping for a five-point differential in either direction, I say pick a side and ride or die. 
  • Cam Newton under 1.5 touchdowns passing  – Cam is still effective as a runner. I wouldn’t put much stock into him winning a lot of matchups in the red zone vs. this Rams defense. 
  • Cam Newton under 45 yards rushing – Cam isn’t breaking 20-yard runs in this one, and I don’t see Cam engaging in the run a whole lot after the first few times Aaron Donald meets him in the trenches. 
  • Cam Newton under 185 passing yards – Last five games – 69, 85, 365, 118, 274
  • Cam Akers Over 12 rush attempts – the second-round rookie has impressed lately, and I think he’s earned a bigger role on offense. 
  • Robert Woods under 5.5 receptions – this is a gamble since Woods averages nine targets and 5.9 receptions a game, But this is the type of player Belichick won’t let impact a game like this. 

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