Tip-off for tonight’s game is set at 7 p.m. MST at the Ball Arena. Denver opened as the -9 favorite against the spread, but that number has quickly dropped to Denver -6.5. That said, the public is still backing the Rockets big time, with 65% of bets heading in their direction as of Monday morning.
The point total opened at 225.5 and has since dropped to 222 with 77% of public money funneling towards the over.
Houston lost their first game of the season against the Portland Trail Blazers, although they did manage to cover the spread. Frontman James Harden went off for 44 points in his first game of the season. He also dropped 17 assists in the overtime loss to Portland.
The Rockets are a totally different team this year compared to seasons past. While Harden is still an elite level player, it appears his time in H-town is coming to an end, and the Rockets are not considered an upper-echelon team out West like in years past. That said, so long as Harden is motivated, you can never rule Houston out of a game, especially one against the Nuggets.
Houston won four of the seven head-to-head matchups versus the Nuggets last season and covered the spread only in the games won. The Rockets have covered the spread in eight of the last 11 head-to-head matchups against the Nuggets overall.
The Rockets will be without a few key players in Ben McLemore, DeMarcus Cousins and John Wall, among others, as the team continues to rebound from an issue with COVID-19.
Let’s take a look at some betting trends and info via Covers.com:
- Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss
- Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Monday games
- Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest
- Over is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 overall
- Over is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nuggets last 4 Monday games
The Nuggets are still looking to establish their identity out of the gate. The shortened offseason has certainly affected the team’s play to start the season, especially for guards Jamal Murray and Gary Harris. Both Murray and Harris have been virtually useless on offense and are in the midst of a serious early-season slump.
Denver’s second unit is also far from perfect, which is to be expected with the roster turnover. If the Nuggets are at their best, they should win this game handily. That said, the Nuggets have been far from perfect this season, and it’s unknown if they are capable of playing steady basketball for 48 minutes, let alone cover the spread of -6.5.
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