The action gets started at 7 p.m. MST, and the Nuggets are the -8.5 favorite against the spread. The game total is pegged at 225.5, and the public is backing Denver ATS and the over.
Nuts and bolts:
Fresh off a run to the Western Conference Finals, the Nuggets are considered one of the Western Conference’s upper echelon teams. Denver’s win total for the season is set at 44.5, which is the fifth-highest mark in the NBA this season.
Sacramento is leaning on their young stars in De’Aaron Fox and Marvin Bagley III this season, in addition to rookie Tyrese Haliburton who is expected to play a significant role out of the gate for the Kings.
The Nuggets roster looks a bit different this season, although their entire starting five from the playoffs remain intact, which is sure to be a big boost out of the gate. Questions are swirling about how teams will perform at the start of the season, given the historically short offseason.
The Nuggets are the better team here. While Sacramento has shown some promise, this is a game the Nuggets should win with relative ease. The Kings have talent, but Denver’s high-octane offense should be able to score despite the defensive looks Sacramento will throw their way.
With Jerami Grant and Torrey Craig now out east, expect to see a lot more of Michael Porter Jr. as well as Will Barton III. Barton missed Denver’s playoff run due to injury but is back in the saddle for the start of the season and is expected to start from the jump. That said, MPJ is expected to be heavily featured, and it would not be surprising to see the lineup shift at some point early in the season if he excels.
So long as the Nuggets are not looking ahead to their Christmas Day matchup with the Clippers, Denver should clean up tonight in the season opener.
Denver won four of the five head-to-head matchups with the Kings last season, with the lone loss coming in an overtime affair. Despite the Nuggets’ success in the win column, Sacramento got the best of the bettors, covering the spread in three of the five matchups.
The over has cashed in Denver’s last four meetings between these two teams and five times overall in the last seven.
Both teams will be without a couple of players. JaMychal Green and Greg Whittington are both out for the Nuggets, and DaQuan Jeffries and Jabari Parker are out for Sacramento.
Betting the spread in basketball is always tough, especially tonight with the Nuggets as the near 10 point favorite. That said, the Nuggets are truly one of the premier teams out west, and while the Kings have potential, they will miss the playoffs in all likelihood. Denver should be able to win and cover the spread.
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