NFL football is back, baby!
The Kansas City Chiefs will open the 2020 season at home against the Houston Texans tonight.
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The Chiefs are the -9.5 point favorite in tonight’s game, and for good reason. Kansas City is fresh off a Super Bowl victory, and they are returning with virtually the exact same team. The Chiefs, led by MVP Patrick Mahomes, are the clear favorites to win the Super Bowl this season across various sportsbooks.
The Texans just signed Deshaun Watson to a lucrative four-year deal and will rely on the Clemson product to lead the team back to the postseason in 2020. That said, Watson will be without DeAndre Hopkins this year, as the Texans flipped him to the Arizona Cardinals during the offseason.
Let’s take a look at some notable stats and trends ahead of tonight’s game per Covers.com:
- Road team is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
- Under is 4-1 in Texans last 5 road games.
- Texans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.
- Under is 11-4-1 in Texans last 16 games in September.
- Over is 5-0 in Chiefs last 5 games in Week 1.
- Chiefs are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Chiefs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite
To be honest, this game is a bit of a crapshoot. It’s hard to get a full read on the game because of the adverse circumstances going on in the world today. Altered training camp and no preseason games are sure to affect the level of play out of the gate, especially on offense. Training camp and OTAs are critical in developing chemistry and timing on offense.
Per CapWize.com: This is not to say that no preseason won’t affect the defensive side of the ball, but defenses run simpler formations and plays compared to the X’s & O’s of an offense concepts (I.e most defenses are easier to learn than most offenses are).
Additionally, since both teams are still getting their feet wet with the oddities of this season, it would not be surprising to see teams lean on the running game, especially if a team can jump out to a two-score lead.
This could have an effect on the point total, which is set at 53, per BetRivers.
Nobody knows what to expect tonight, but the Chiefs are certainly the more well-rounded team through and through. That said, will they have enough firepower to win by at least 10 points? Hard to say.
On the flip side, have the Texans had enough prep time to defend the Chiefs’ high-powered offense? Can they hang with Kansas City without Hopkins?
We will find out soon enough.