Denver Sports Betting

Betting Preview: Can the Denver Nuggets tie the series?

The Denver Nuggets have no intention of rolling over in the Western Conference Finals. Game 4 is just around the corner and airs at 7 pm MST on TNT as the Nuggets look to position themselves to steal the Western Conference crown from the Los Angeles Lakers.

With the Nuggets’ outstanding Game 3 performance, the series is now slated at 2-1, and the Nuggets are in a great position to tie things up in Game 4. However, even if they don’t, and the series ends up going 3-1, there is no need to be worried; that is just one of the perks to being a Nuggets fan in this day in age.

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Our friends at BetRivers Sportsbook agree there is a high chance the Lakers will take Game 4, putting them at -250 on the Moneyline and -6.5 favorites against the spread. The Nuggets are the +6.5 underdog and +225 on the Moneyline.

A $25 bet on the Nuggets will net a payout of $81.25 if Denver wins Game 4.

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Jamal Murray had 28 points, 12 assists and two late 3-pointers to halt a Lakers charge, helping the Nuggets to a 114-106…

Posted by INQUIRER.net on Tuesday, September 22, 2020

Jamal Murray himself thinks the Nuggets should be favored right now. Denver has been the better team in 2 of the 3 games. The Lakers themselves believe they dodged a bullet with Anthony Davis’ game-winning 3 pointer in the final seconds of Game 2. In Game 3 though, the Nuggets dominated with authority, and the stats prove it.

Numbers to Remember from Game 3:

  • The Nuggets outrebounded the Lakers 44-25
  • The Lakers 3 bigs had a combined 4 rebounds
  • The Nuggets shot 37.9% from 3, opposed to the Lakers 23.1%
  • The Lakers only shot 63.6% from the FT line
  • Jerami Grant had a Playoff career-high of 26 points
  • The Lakers dominated in the paint with 64 points vs the Nuggets 48
  • Both teams had similar TOV stats with Denver committing 18 vs LA’s 16

Betting Trends:

  • When the Nuggets are at least +4.5 underdogs, they have gone 13-8 ATS  
  • Denver has won outright in 8 of its last 9 covers 
  • The Lakers covered a 6 point spread in 9 of their last 10 playoff wins
  • According to Betlabs, the under is getting 51% of the money and 14% of bets

Wager to Consider:

  • The Over Game total of 214.5
  • Betting on the series outright winner Denver @ +820
  • Lakers in 6 @ +200
  • Lakers in 7 @ +550
  • Nuggets in 7 @ +1100

Game Expectations:

Lebron James has a playoff series record of 22-0 after starting a series 2-0. So expect an aggressive attack at the rim from Lebron to start. It is unlikely, even if we play at our very best, we will maintain a 19+ or even 10+ rebounding advantage in Game 4.

With the Laker’s amazing big men, it will be essential for the Nuggets to block out and at least stay roughly even in the rebounding department because LA is sure to play with a vengeance on the glass.

If the Nuggets can successfully out-rebound LA, they will position themselves well to take the game. The Lakers themselves are undoubtedly talking about how they must continue to hammer it on the inside; however, if it proves to be something we cannot stop in Game 4, the Nuggets could offset the deficit with their obvious advantage from three. In Game 3, the Nuggets outshot the Lakers by just under 17% on 3s, and we know they can shoot even better than that from behind the arc.

With that, it will also create more space within the lane in order to close the gap with the Lakers inside the paint. This should allow other Nuggets’ players besides the dynamic duo of Jokic and Murray to get involved, similar to what we saw in Game 3 with Jerami Grant’s 26 points, a contribution that must be repeated for the home team to take Game 4.

All and all, the Nuggets should have a real chance in Game 4, considering the momentum they have established from the last game. However, there is little chance Anthony Davis and the rest of the LA frontcourt will play poorly, so fans should expect to see a much more contested game.

Please make no mistake, the losses in Game 1 and 2 were of our own making, news that should come as music to Nuggets’ fans ears. Controlling the boards and transition game will be the key to Game 4. Whichever team is more efficient in transition, most likely wins this game. Denver found their X factor in Game 3 as Jerami Grant had the game of his life. If Grant can play a consistent Game 4 and Denver pops off from beyond the arc, the Nuggets will be hard to beat. 

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