The NFC West is probably the division that I am the least confident in projecting right now due to the significant question marks surrounding each team. This division yields a team that went to the Super Bowl last season and is still 10-1 to win it this season. That being said, I think there are a lot of scenarios for all four of the teams in the division.
The Los Angeles Rams come into this season as 4/7 favorites to win this division over the Seattle Seahawks, San Francisco 49ers, and Arizona Cardinals. Respectively, these teams have odds at 7/2, 4/1, and 20/1. I think that the uncertainty here really provides for a lot of interesting betting ideas here.
Los Angeles Rams
The Rams do return most of their team from a Super Bowl run last season. Not to mention the fact that Jared Goff is getting older and more experienced as an NFL signal caller.
The biggest question mark here is Todd Gurley and his health leading into this season. The good news for the Rams is that there are a lot of statistics out there that would suggest that Gurley is much less important than some would expect. The money being tied up in a player that has lingering injury problems will never feel good for a fanbase though.
My biggest question here is how will teams continue to adapt to this team’s philosophies. Sean McVay is an elite offensive mind, and I am still skeptical that Goff is much more than a decent puppet for this offense. I think that teams are doing everything that they can to eliminate McVay’s mind from the game.
I think the Rams are the clear favorite here due to the talent and recent history, but I really don’t love the value here.
I am pretty low on the Seahawks compared to the oddsmakers this season. They have the second-highest odds to win this division, but I just don’t see the elite upside in this team.
I am pretty confident that the Rams will finish this season with a winning record, and I think that the other two teams on the board here just provide more value. Losing Frank Clark and Doug Baldwin is not nothing, and I just don’t think that this team has the ability to be better than it was last year based on the talent they have returning and the jump that I expect from some teams on their schedule.
San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers are my favorite bet on the board to win the NFC West at +400. I think that the 49ers are set up to be one of the teams that just pops overnight into a real contender. They have a real franchise QB with an elite offensive mind behind him. They have drafted and acquired good skill position players, and I think that their defense should improve significantly too.
Remember when Jimmy Garoppolo went undefeated in 2017 after being traded to San Fran? This team is WAY better than that team that he took over, and I really think that they have been simmering in the background for a whole offseason now.
I love the value here on the Niners at +400, and I really think that we could see 10 to 12 wins here if this team can avoid the injury bug.
I am relatively skeptical of Kyler Murray and this offense being as good as some people expect. That being said, I actually think that taking a little bit on Arizona at +2000 here makes sense, especially if you are taking the 49ers too. The Cardinals aren’t that talented, but MAYBE they can be so different that it doesn’t matter.
If Kyler and Kliff Kingsbury can succeed early in their careers in Arizona offensively, I think that they would likely succeed for the whole season based on their ideas. I don’t think this is likely to work, but +2000 is too good of a number for the potential explosiveness if this scheme does take the league by storm.