Denver Sports Betting

Nuggets vs Trailblazers Game 2 Betting Preview, Lines, Odds, Spread and Prop Bets

Nuggets

Nuggets vs Trailblazers Game 2 Betting Preview, Lines, Odds, Spread and Prop Bets

By Cliff Rodriguez @Cliffrod303

 

Game 2 will be all about adjustments. The Blazers came out throwing everything they could at Denver in game 1 and still came up short (121-113). Despite Damian Lillard’s 39-point effort, Denver controlled the game from the tip. Without Jusuf Nurkic it’s clear that Denver has a huge frontcourt advantage. Paul Millsap and Nikola Jokic combined for 56 points. If that trend continues this could be a short series for Portland.

The Blazers will be forced to let Jokic get his points, they have no answer for him defensively. I expect Portland to focus on driving to the basket with their guards. In theory, this will make Jokic work harder on defense and if they are lucky Portland might be able to get Jokic in early foul trouble. In addition to attacking the basket, expect Portland to be more ferocious on defense especially in transition. Denver had 12 turnovers in game 1 but the Blazers were only able to score 6points off those; while the Nuggets were able to score 23 points off the Blazers 18 turnovers.

Quick Note: Check out our guide to betting NBA for advaned tips on what factors to look for.

 

Keys for a Portland Win

Fewer turnovers. Better ball movement. Continue to dominate the boards. Force Jokic to turn the ball over.

Keys for a Denver Win

Increase defensive pressure. Win the turnover battle. Make free throws. Continue to move the ball, the more assists the better.

 

Game 2 Series Info and Betting Stats

Denver Leads the series 1-0

Money-line: POR: (+164) | DEN: (-194)

Spread: POR: +4.5 (-110) | DEN: -4.5 (-110)

Total: 219.5 – Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Public (Spread) Betting Percentages: POR: 49% | DEN: 51%

Series Price: POR: (+205) | DEN: (-260)

 

All info, odds and lines from the Fan Duel Sportsbook

 

Quick Stats for thought before wagers are made

  • The Over has been hit in 5 of Denver’s 8 Playoff games
  • Including game 1 Portland as scored at least 108 points vs Denver in all 5 games played
  • In game 1 both teams shot over 50%, since 2005 teams that shot at least 50% from the field hit the Over in 66.7% (14/21) of the time in their next contest.
  • The Nuggets are 31-27 ATS after a win in 2019
  • The Blazers are a league worst 10-17 ATS as road underdogs in 2019

 

Bottomline

After a dominate win in game 1 it’s hard to not expect the Nuggets to continue right were they left off. Portland will show up and will put up points. The winner of game 2 will be the team that makes the biggest adjustments from game 1. Does Portland have an answer for Jokic? Can someone besides Lillard take over scoring in stretches for the Blazers? Who will win the turnover battle? Which teams’ bench will show up? Which ever team can find the answers first, will come out with a win.

The Plays

It feels like a trap but with the lack of defense and with the ease at which Lillard and Jokic scored, ride the OVER 219.5 train tonight. Denver led the season series 3-1 and Jokic was unstoppable in game 1. Add in the fact that Jokic is averaging 33PPG, 10.7RPG, 7.7APG while shooting 62.5% from the field at home against the Blazers in 3 games this season, take Denver at -4.

The Prop Bets

Damian Lillard is on fire and the Nuggets didn’t mind letting him score, take Lillard Over 28.5 points. If you want an add on take Lillard and the Over 3.5 made 3pointers.

Enes Kantar and the Over 15.5 points seems like an easy win. Denver didn’t want to pick up cheap fouls in game 1 and Kantar had a lot of easy buckets. Plus, the dude makes his free throws.

Paul Millsap and the Over 13.5 points. Millsap shot 7/12 from the field for 19 points on Monday and averaged 19.3PPG against Portland in the regular season. If the Blazers find a way to slow down Jokic Millsap will be the beneficiary inside.

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