Denver Sports Betting

Nuggets vs Trailblazers Game 1 Betting Preview

Nuggets

Nuggets vs Trailblazers Game 1 Betting Preview

By Cliff Rodriguez @Crod303

 

In round 2 of the NBA Playoffs we have Denver at home taking on the well-rested Portland Trailblazers. Denver escaped a rigorous 7 game series with San Antonio on Saturday night. Portland has been waiting nearly a week for its round 2 opponent to be ready. This should be a high-octane series with 2 energetic teams that love to get up and down the court.

Portland led by the lava hot shooting of point Damian Lillard easily disposed of the Thunder in 5 games. The Blazers didn’t leave the series unscathed; Center Enes Kanter is questionable to start the series with Denver due to a shoulder injury. The loss of starting center Jusuf Nurkic (leg) and the potential loss of Kanter will put the Blazers frontcourt at an extreme disadvantage to begin round 2.

Denver was led in 7 games of round 1 by the elevated play of all-star center Nikola Jokic. Jokic dominated the Spurs during the entire series; averaging 23.1points,12.1 rebounds and 9.1 assists per game. Based off Jokic’s play the Nuggets should have been able to end the Spurs series much sooner than game 7. Youth combined with stretches of bad shooting nearly cost the Nuggets the series.

 

Game 1 Stats Preview

Nuggets wont the season series 3-1 vs Portland

Blazers have been in the Playoffs 6 years in a row, never making it past round 2.

Money line: DEN: (-180) | POR: (+152)

Spread: DEN: -4 (-110) | POR: +4 (-110)

Total: 215.5 – Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Public (Spread) Betting Percentages: DEN: 37% | POR: 63%

Public (Bet%) DEN 45% | POR 55%

 

All betting lines and info from FanDuel Sports Book

 

Quick Stats for thought before wagers are made

  1. In game 7 Denver shot 2-20 from 3. Since 2005 teams that have shot 3s under 20% and then play at home have covered the spread 66.7% of the time (48-24-3) by an average if 3.8 points per game.
  2. Well rested road teams (more than 4 days) are 57-93-1 (38%) ATS since 2015
  3. Game 1 Unders are11-0 so far this post season
  4. Portland is 1-4 ATS in it’s last 5 vs Denver
  5. Denver is 3-6 in its last 9 games
  6. The total has gone over in 4 of the last 5 games between these two teams

 

Bottomline

Every game in every series is different. What happen between these teams in the regular season doesn’t matter. Both teams can win this series in 4 games. Portland has a scoring advantage in the backcourt and has the experience factor on their side. Denver has a better front court, a better bench and home court. This series will come down to rebounding and 3-point shooting. Both teams take around 30 3s a game, and both teams are heavily reliant on transition offense. On paper this is going to be fun and exciting series to watch. Get your popcorn ready.

 

The Plays

Nuggets are coming off a tough series, and inconsistent shooting. Portland is on 6 days rest. The Under has hit in all 11 game 1s this post season, ride the Under (215.5) wave. Denver has done things the hard way all season, so why change now Take Portland +4.

Prop bets -Damian Lillard is on fire and the Nuggets defense vs point guards is always questionable take Lillard over 27.5 points. Nikola Jokic O/U on rebounds is at 11.5 with Kanter questionable I like the Over.

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